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    A crystal-ball view of healthcare in 2016


    As I write this month's editorial, it's the weekend before the presidential election, and here in central Ohio the fate of the nation rests in our hands, or so I am told. It is generally acknowledged that Ohio is crucial to both parties' presidential aspirations, but in no prior election has this axiom seemed so true. What's more, because the northern part of the state is solidly Democratic and the southern part is solidly Republican, centrist central Ohio may well be the most politically contested region in the nation.

    One benefit of this unique political convergence is that we get to see and hear the 2 candidates' campaigns up close and personal. Of course, that is also the disadvantage. How I long to be able to view television without endless negative ads and bipartisan distortions of the truth. So, having lived in this political hothouse for many months, I feel emboldened to make a few predictions about the outcome of this election.

    The 2012 election

    Of course, by the time you read these words the election results will be known, and so for my first set of predictions I will have stuck my neck way out. But here goes: I predict that on November 6 President Obama will be reelected with more than
    290 electoral votes, but because of the "voter suppression" effects of Hurricane Sandy in New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut, he may not garner a plurality of popular votes. I also predict that the Democrats will hold onto the Senate, driven in part by a backlash against perceived Republican insensitivity to women's issues.

    Additionally, I predict that although the Democrats will make gains in the House, it will remain solidly Republican, as the 2010 Tea Party mountain was simply too high to climb in 1 election. Thus, we will continue with divided government.


    Charles J. Lockwood, MD, MHCM
    Dr. Lockwood, Editor-in-Chief, is Dean of the Morsani College of Medicine and Senior Vice President of USF Health, University of South ...


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